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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University-0.79+4.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.93+4.00vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.25-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.41-2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.09-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.60+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.76-0.19vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.41-6.44vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.94-5.04vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.10-5.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.48-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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6.05Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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3.72University of California at Davis0.410.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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6.96University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Zackery Martin | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Samuels | 19.7% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 13.9% |
| Grace Chitouras | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 18.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 20.4% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.