← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Washington-0.09+2.94vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.25+1.00vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Davis-0.93+2.95vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.57+1.04vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis0.41-2.24vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-1.60+1.61vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-1.76+0.80vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-1.10-1.74vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.94-3.17vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University0.41-7.31vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-0.79-5.25vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-2.48-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.94University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
-
4.0University of Washington0.250.2%1st Place
-
6.95University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
-
6.04Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
-
3.76University of California at Davis0.410.2%1st Place
-
8.61University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.8University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.26University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
-
6.83University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
-
3.69Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
-
6.75Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
-
10.37University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Smith | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Samuels | 20.2% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 14.8% |
| Grace Chitouras | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 17.8% |
| Tillie Morris | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.8% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 17.9% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.