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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.41+3.02vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.57+4.60vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.25-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.93-0.60vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.50-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.10-1.92vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.79-3.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.76-2.40vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.60-3.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.48-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of California at Davis0.410.2%1st Place
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6.6Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.01Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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6.29Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.11Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Samuels | 17.5% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.2% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Smith | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Zackery Martin | 14.9% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Tillie Morris | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 16.6% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 14.4% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.