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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.01+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.72+2.98vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.43-0.20vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.01+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.60-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.38+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46-2.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.01-3.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-3.16-1.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.79-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Washington0.010.2%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Davis-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.8Western Washington University0.430.3%1st Place
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5.49Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Delasanta | 22.3% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 9.5% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 27.9% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Henry Stier | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
| Emily Avey | 9.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Konrad Brine | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 25.3% | 54.6% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 34.2% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.