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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.43+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.60+1.75vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-3.16+2.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.01-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46-3.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.72-4.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.79-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Western Washington University0.430.3%1st Place
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3.52University of Washington0.010.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.5Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Davis-0.720.1%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 32.6% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 18.5% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Stier | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 0.9% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 23.3% | 54.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Emily Avey | 10.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 34.0% | 37.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.