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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.60+3.62vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.43-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-3.16+4.94vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.72-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.38-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.01-5.48vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.01-4.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.79-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.46-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.81Western Washington University0.430.3%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.52Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Davis-0.720.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Washington0.010.2%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Stier | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 30.6% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 23.7% | 55.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 3.7% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 18.1% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 37.1% | 35.5% |
| Emily Avey | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.