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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.01+2.43vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46+1.44vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.43-1.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.72-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.60-1.34vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01-1.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.01-2.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-3.16-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.38-3.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.79-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Washington0.010.2%1st Place
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4.44University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.8Western Washington University0.430.3%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Davis-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.48Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Delasanta | 21.3% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 28.7% | 23.2% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Henry Stier | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Konrad Brine | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 25.4% | 53.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 34.5% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.