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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University-1.01+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.60+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.46+0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.01-1.54vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.43-3.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.72-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.01-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-3.16-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.79-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.38-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Washington0.010.2%1st Place
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2.75Western Washington University0.430.3%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Davis-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Morrow | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Henry Stier | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Emily Avey | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 19.3% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 29.6% | 24.9% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Konrad Brine | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 27.4% | 52.5% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 34.8% | 37.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 22.4% | 13.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.