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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.43+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.60+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.72+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46-0.66vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.01-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-3.16+2.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.79-0.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.01-5.51vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.38-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Western Washington University0.430.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Washington0.010.2%1st Place
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4.72University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.95University of California at Davis-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.45Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 31.3% | 23.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 19.0% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stier | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 7.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Emily Avey | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 25.0% | 55.5% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 11.2% | 34.8% | 35.7% |
| Konrad Brine | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 12.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.