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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.72+4.99vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.68+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.60+2.60vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.01+0.15vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.43-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.38+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.79+2.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.01-3.44vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-5.94vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.87-5.74vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-3.16-2.15vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.01-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of California at Davis-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.81Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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3.27Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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7.59University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.26Western Washington University-0.870.1%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Holden | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Stier | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 14.2% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 24.7% | 22.9% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 33.7% | 34.4% |
| Konrad Brine | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Emily Avey | 10.2% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Tanaka | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 24.3% | 55.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.