Race 4A

pccsc-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mateo Vargas 18.5% 16.6% 17.1% 13.0% 12.1% 9.0% 6.8% 3.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Sean Kelly 18.2% 18.1% 12.8% 14.8% 10.4% 8.8% 6.8% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Judge Ryan 14.5% 13.9% 13.8% 14.0% 11.6% 11.7% 8.3% 6.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Craig Schifferns 6.0% 6.4% 6.8% 7.9% 8.2% 10.6% 10.4% 14.3% 12.5% 10.0% 6.9%
Stephen Lue 10.0% 9.3% 11.1% 9.7% 11.5% 10.2% 10.5% 10.0% 7.7% 6.8% 3.2%
Jack Porter 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% 8.0% 9.0% 11.4% 10.6% 11.4% 11.7% 10.2% 6.3%
Ryan Sullivan 11.2% 11.8% 11.7% 11.3% 11.7% 11.0% 10.5% 9.1% 5.5% 4.4% 1.8%
Cody Shevitz 6.0% 5.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 11.2% 10.5% 12.0% 13.8% 8.5%
Brandon Wood 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 4.6% 6.3% 5.9% 8.5% 12.4% 14.9% 15.1% 20.3%
Eric Alamillo 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 4.8% 6.3% 6.8% 8.9% 9.8% 14.3% 17.2% 19.3%
Thomas Maher 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 5.7% 7.5% 6.7% 12.6% 18.8% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.