Race 2A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mikhail Lavrenov 7.0% 6.2% 7.6% 10.4% 11.2% 12.2% 14.0% 16.2% 15.3%
Cooper Smith 19.9% 17.8% 17.3% 12.7% 11.7% 9.8% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4%
Jett Lindelof 17.3% 16.9% 15.2% 13.8% 11.8% 10.4% 7.8% 4.8% 2.1%
Sam Harris 11.5% 12.8% 11.8% 11.8% 12.3% 13.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.4%
Ella Beauregard 11.3% 12.2% 12.3% 13.4% 11.7% 11.7% 11.3% 10.4% 5.8%
Renato Korzinek 11.6% 10.8% 12.7% 11.3% 13.2% 11.2% 12.0% 10.9% 6.4%
Aidan Boni 12.0% 13.2% 12.9% 13.6% 11.8% 11.5% 10.8% 8.2% 5.9%
Griffin Stolp 5.2% 5.4% 5.1% 5.7% 7.4% 10.8% 13.0% 16.3% 31.2%
Zach Earnshaw 4.3% 4.9% 5.1% 7.4% 9.1% 9.1% 13.4% 20.2% 26.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.