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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.94+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.00+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.84+0.59vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.54+0.33vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.27-1.94vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.04-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Northwestern University0.940.5%1st Place
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2.62University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Chicago-0.840.1%1st Place
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4.33Northwestern University-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.06Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.65Miami University-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 52.1% | 28.2% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 20.9% | 29.8% | 24.0% | 17.7% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Ben Kosvic | 9.0% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 30.4% | 23.9% | 3.7% |
| Jenna Spray | 3.4% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 44.9% | 12.5% |
| Dominique DeLano | 13.9% | 21.2% | 27.4% | 22.7% | 12.5% | 2.3% |
| AJ McRitchie | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 11.2% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.