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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.94+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.00+0.65vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.54+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.84-0.36vs Predicted
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5Miami University-3.04+0.63vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.27-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Northwestern University0.940.5%1st Place
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2.65University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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4.31Northwestern University-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.64University of Chicago-0.840.1%1st Place
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5.63Miami University-3.040.0%1st Place
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3.0Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 51.0% | 29.2% | 13.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 20.9% | 28.8% | 23.6% | 19.4% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Jenna Spray | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 44.5% | 13.9% |
| Ben Kosvic | 7.9% | 12.2% | 21.3% | 28.8% | 25.8% | 4.0% |
| AJ McRitchie | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 79.5% |
| Dominique DeLano | 14.8% | 21.2% | 27.1% | 24.4% | 11.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.