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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.94+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.84+1.56vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.54+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.00-1.36vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.27-1.94vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.04-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Northwestern University0.940.5%1st Place
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3.56University of Chicago-0.840.1%1st Place
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4.32Northwestern University-1.540.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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3.06Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.65Miami University-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 51.0% | 29.3% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Kosvic | 8.8% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 27.8% | 23.8% | 4.3% |
| Jenna Spray | 5.1% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 45.5% | 13.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 21.0% | 25.4% | 29.6% | 16.9% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Dominique DeLano | 13.5% | 23.3% | 23.2% | 26.3% | 11.2% | 2.5% |
| AJ McRitchie | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 11.9% | 79.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.