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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.00+1.67vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.94-0.25vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.27-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.84-0.41vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.54-0.57vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.04-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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1.75Northwestern University0.940.5%1st Place
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2.92Michigan State University-0.270.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Chicago-0.840.1%1st Place
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4.43Northwestern University-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.64Miami University-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 20.1% | 27.5% | 27.0% | 17.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Will Davies | 53.0% | 26.2% | 15.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Dominique DeLano | 15.7% | 23.0% | 26.0% | 25.5% | 8.7% | 1.1% |
| Ben Kosvic | 7.6% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 29.8% | 25.0% | 3.1% |
| Jenna Spray | 3.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 45.3% | 15.9% |
| AJ McRitchie | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 5.1% | 12.7% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.