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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.58+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.06+0.69vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.00-0.38vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.80-0.40vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.82-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-2.21-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Northwestern University0.580.4%1st Place
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2.69University of Michigan-0.060.2%1st Place
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2.62Michigan State University-0.000.2%1st Place
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3.6Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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4.83Miami University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Chicago-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 39.8% | 29.8% | 18.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Beyer | 22.2% | 24.9% | 24.8% | 19.2% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 23.7% | 23.6% | 26.7% | 19.4% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 9.9% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 29.1% | 22.3% | 6.3% |
| Allison Hoeft | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 35.2% | 37.1% |
| Matthew Rothfusz | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 10.8% | 26.6% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.