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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.58+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.06+0.69vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.80+0.58vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.00-1.36vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.82-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-2.21-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Northwestern University0.580.4%1st Place
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2.69University of Michigan-0.060.2%1st Place
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3.58Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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2.64Michigan State University-0.000.2%1st Place
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4.85Miami University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Chicago-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 40.2% | 29.3% | 18.6% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Beyer | 22.1% | 26.0% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 10.5% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 31.4% | 21.1% | 6.1% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 22.3% | 24.9% | 27.3% | 18.4% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Allison Hoeft | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 35.9% | 37.1% |
| Matthew Rothfusz | 1.9% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 26.1% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.