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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+3.07vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.83+3.26vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-0.11vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.22+2.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.60+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.82-1.03vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-3.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego2.19-2.45vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.57-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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3.51Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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3.89California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.2%1st Place
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7.57Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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8.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 15.0% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Vargas | 21.7% | 20.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Sean Kelly | 18.3% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 18.9% |
| Cody Shevitz | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% |
| Craig Schifferns | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 32.6% |
| Willie McBride | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.