Race 3A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cooper Smith 20.6% 17.2% 16.1% 15.2% 12.2% 8.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.1%
Sam Harris 11.3% 12.4% 11.7% 13.0% 11.8% 12.9% 11.9% 9.8% 5.1%
Jett Lindelof 16.9% 16.9% 16.1% 13.1% 13.2% 10.5% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7%
Mikhail Lavrenov 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 8.5% 9.3% 11.7% 14.8% 16.6% 16.4%
Aidan Boni 12.8% 12.2% 13.6% 11.1% 12.4% 11.8% 11.1% 9.4% 5.5%
Griffin Stolp 3.6% 4.5% 5.7% 6.8% 7.4% 9.8% 14.1% 17.1% 30.9%
Ella Beauregard 10.8% 12.2% 11.3% 12.6% 13.7% 12.3% 10.7% 10.1% 6.4%
Zach Earnshaw 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 9.4% 12.2% 18.6% 25.9%
Renato Korzinek 11.5% 11.0% 10.7% 12.2% 11.7% 12.6% 12.4% 10.9% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.