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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.58+1.05vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.06+0.71vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.80+0.59vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.00-1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-2.21+0.19vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.82-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Northwestern University0.580.4%1st Place
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2.71University of Michigan-0.060.2%1st Place
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3.59Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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2.66Michigan State University-0.000.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Chicago-2.210.0%1st Place
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4.8Miami University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 40.3% | 29.3% | 19.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Beyer | 22.0% | 25.5% | 24.0% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 1.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 31.2% | 20.7% | 6.7% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 22.2% | 24.1% | 27.6% | 18.8% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Rothfusz | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 25.1% | 55.7% |
| Allison Hoeft | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 15.1% | 36.5% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.