← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College0.72+2.77vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.10+2.78vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-0.36+2.79vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.46+0.62vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+1.58vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.84-3.49vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.64vs Predicted
-
9Boston University0.10-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.77Bates College0.7217.8%1st Place
-
4.78University of New Hampshire0.1011.1%1st Place
-
5.79McGill University-0.367.6%1st Place
-
4.62Northeastern University0.4611.4%1st Place
-
6.58Maine Maritime Academy-0.654.2%1st Place
-
4.79Maine Maritime Academy0.2010.8%1st Place
-
3.51University of Vermont0.8421.2%1st Place
-
6.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.3%1st Place
-
4.79Boston University0.1010.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 17.8% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Sam Harris | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Griffin Stolp | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 30.2% |
| Ella Beauregard | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 21.2% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 26.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.