← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Payne Donaldson 67.3% 23.2% 7.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Iain Shand 16.4% 37.0% 26.0% 14.1% 5.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Jared Cohen 6.4% 13.4% 25.2% 26.8% 18.2% 9.6% 0.4%
Pearce Bragaw 3.8% 12.5% 20.1% 23.4% 26.7% 11.5% 2.0%
Daniel Dickson 0.9% 3.1% 4.9% 8.9% 16.6% 45.6% 20.0%
Benjamin Swanson 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 2.6% 4.0% 16.3% 75.0%
Olivia Kearns 4.9% 10.1% 15.1% 22.6% 29.3% 15.4% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.