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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+3.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+1.54vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.22+4.67vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.82+2.28vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-1.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.83-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.60-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego2.19-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.57-3.40vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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3.54Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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7.67Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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3.84California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.2%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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8.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 14.1% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 21.4% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| Craig Schifferns | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Sean Kelly | 19.0% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Willie McBride | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Jack Porter | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Cody Shevitz | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 6.9% |
| Eric Alamillo | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 19.6% |
| Mallory Schluter | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.