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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.10+3.11vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.36+2.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.95-0.05vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.72-0.58vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.46-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.84-2.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of New Hampshire0.1011.7%1st Place
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4.99McGill University-0.367.0%1st Place
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2.95Boston University0.9524.6%1st Place
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3.42Bates College0.7219.1%1st Place
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4.07Northeastern University0.4611.8%1st Place
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3.15University of Vermont0.8420.1%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 11.4% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 27.5% |
| Dylan Balunas | 24.6% | 22.2% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Jett Lindelof | 19.1% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 10.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 20.1% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.