← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute0.94+0.23vs Predicted
-
2Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.15+1.96vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University-2.08+0.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-1.57-0.77vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University-2.14-0.93vs Predicted
-
6University of Pittsburgh-2.68-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.23Webb Institute0.940.8%1st Place
-
3.96Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.150.0%1st Place
-
3.85Monmouth University-2.080.1%1st Place
-
3.23University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.07Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
-
4.65University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Spalding | 81.3% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bigham | 2.9% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 22.2% | 18.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 5.1% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 23.5% | 21.4% | 15.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 6.4% | 27.4% | 26.4% | 21.5% | 12.7% | 5.6% |
| Ben Muchin | 2.6% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 22.5% | 21.2% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.7% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.