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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.94+0.22vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.57+1.25vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-2.08+0.85vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-2.14-0.04vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.15-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.68-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.22Webb Institute0.940.8%1st Place
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3.25University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
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3.85Monmouth University-2.080.1%1st Place
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3.96Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.08Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Spalding | 82.2% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 5.1% | 30.5% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 13.4% | 6.6% |
| Sarah Ward | 5.1% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 15.5% |
| Ben Muchin | 3.3% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 22.9% | 16.8% |
| Samuel Bigham | 2.5% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 21.2% | 21.6% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.8% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.