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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.94+0.22vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh-2.68+2.58vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-2.08+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.46+0.36vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.15-0.90vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.22-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.22Webb Institute0.940.8%1st Place
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4.58University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
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3.84Monmouth University-2.080.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
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4.1Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.150.0%1st Place
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2.9Drexel University-1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Spalding | 81.4% | 15.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.5% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 23.0% | 35.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 5.3% | 14.2% | 21.9% | 23.0% | 20.5% | 15.1% |
| Evan Walter | 2.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 26.2% | 26.3% |
| Samuel Bigham | 2.1% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 23.7% | 20.8% | 20.9% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 7.5% | 37.3% | 27.0% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.