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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.46+3.01vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.95+1.00vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.36+1.88vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.72-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.84-1.90vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10-1.79vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Northeastern University0.4612.0%1st Place
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3.0Boston University0.9524.9%1st Place
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4.88McGill University-0.367.0%1st Place
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3.46Bates College0.7217.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Vermont0.8421.6%1st Place
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4.21University of New Hampshire0.1011.5%1st Place
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5.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boni | 12.0% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 24.9% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 25.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 17.3% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 21.6% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Sam Harris | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 13.4% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.