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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+5.83vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.19+3.82vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.60+0.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.69-3.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.83-2.09vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.22-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.82-5.05vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.2%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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7.82University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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3.59Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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3.84Brown University3.690.2%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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7.57Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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8.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% |
| Sean Kelly | 18.2% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Willie McBride | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Eric Alamillo | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 19.8% |
| Mateo Vargas | 20.4% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Cody Shevitz | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 18.3% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Porter | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 19.3% |
| Craig Schifferns | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.