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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+2.00vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.36+2.59vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.46+0.74vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.95-1.30vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.65+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10-2.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Vermont0.8423.4%1st Place
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4.59McGill University-0.369.0%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University0.4614.9%1st Place
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2.7Boston University0.9527.0%1st Place
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5.01Bates College-0.656.1%1st Place
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3.79University of New Hampshire0.1014.2%1st Place
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5.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 23.4% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 20.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 14.9% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 6.4% |
| Dylan Balunas | 27.0% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Greta Shuster | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 28.9% |
| Sam Harris | 14.2% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 8.3% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.