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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+2.52vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.83+2.63vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California3.16-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.92-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley2.60-0.94vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-0.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.60-0.96vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University2.22-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.2%1st Place
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3.74Brown University3.690.2%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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3.31Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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7.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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6.86Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 20.2% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 17.2% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Porter | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 21.6% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Lue | 11.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Hester | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 6.5% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 30.7% |
| John Olson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 38.3% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.