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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sean Kelly 20.2% 20.6% 15.1% 14.3% 9.7% 9.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Judge Ryan 17.2% 18.5% 14.7% 14.7% 12.4% 10.3% 6.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Jack Porter 7.9% 7.6% 9.0% 9.5% 10.2% 13.0% 15.7% 12.7% 9.7% 4.7%
Mateo Vargas 21.6% 19.7% 17.1% 15.4% 11.6% 7.3% 3.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Stephen Lue 11.7% 9.1% 12.2% 13.0% 13.6% 13.8% 10.9% 8.8% 5.1% 1.8%
Zachary Hester 8.3% 8.7% 10.4% 10.3% 14.4% 12.0% 13.2% 10.4% 9.3% 3.0%
Cody Shevitz 4.9% 5.9% 9.2% 8.8% 9.8% 13.0% 13.9% 14.5% 13.5% 6.5%
Thomas Maher 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 4.0% 5.4% 7.8% 9.0% 13.9% 20.2% 30.7%
John Olson 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 3.3% 5.1% 5.1% 8.5% 12.5% 19.6% 38.3%
Brandon Wood 3.5% 4.6% 5.7% 6.7% 7.8% 8.7% 13.0% 16.6% 19.4% 14.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.