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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.37vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+3.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.55vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.57+4.36vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18+5.05vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.68+1.96vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.54+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28+1.64vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65-0.60vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-0.93vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-3.77vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.91-1.04vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.63-5.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.41vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.38-9.80vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.23vs Predicted
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18Florida State University2.38-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.57Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.46North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.23Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.96Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.88Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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6.2Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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15.77SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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10.03Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Matt Logue | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Scott Harris | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Walter Henry | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 9.7% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 54.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.