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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+7.08vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.46+8.15vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+2.56vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.61vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68+3.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+2.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+4.60vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.54+1.47vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65+0.06vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-2.62vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.91+1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.28-1.02vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.38-6.92vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.38-4.06vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-5.59vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.63-6.74vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.24vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.18-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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5.56Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.93George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.47North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.25Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.94Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.41Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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15.76SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Matt Logue | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% |
| Scott Harris | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Jack Egan | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 10.5% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 55.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.