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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+7.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+5.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+2.57vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38+2.06vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68+3.92vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+3.13vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.38+3.26vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.46+1.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.63+0.11vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.18+0.20vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-2.98vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.54-3.64vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.91-2.18vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-5.64vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-4.31vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.28-6.28vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.57Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.26Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.2Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.36North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.82Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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15.56SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Walter Henry | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Scott Harris | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 9.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 7.9% |
| Bastien Rasse | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.