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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+7.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+4.23vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+2.50vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.46+5.76vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54+4.37vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+2.96vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+2.04vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.91+3.96vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-0.46vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.12vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91+1.22vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-4.54vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.28-2.63vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.38-4.14vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.62vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.63-6.80vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.57-7.46vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.5Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.37North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.96Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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12.22Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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9.86Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.62SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.54Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Scott Harris | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Matt Logue | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 9.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 51.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.