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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+2.71vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.16+1.88vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90-0.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley2.60+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.83-0.49vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.22-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.60-0.01vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.92-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Brown University3.690.2%1st Place
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3.53California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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3.32Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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6.91Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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7.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 18.1% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sean Kelly | 19.8% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 22.2% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cody Shevitz | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
| Jack Porter | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 14.7% |
| John Olson | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 37.8% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 30.7% |
| Zachary Hester | 6.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.