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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Judge Ryan 18.1% 18.3% 16.6% 13.5% 10.6% 9.4% 7.3% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Sean Kelly 19.8% 19.9% 14.7% 14.6% 11.6% 9.1% 5.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Stephen Lue 10.5% 9.8% 11.5% 12.1% 14.2% 13.6% 12.6% 8.9% 5.1% 1.7%
Mateo Vargas 22.2% 18.6% 18.6% 13.9% 11.2% 7.9% 4.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Cody Shevitz 7.0% 7.1% 6.4% 9.4% 9.8% 11.0% 13.9% 15.3% 12.9% 7.2%
Jack Porter 7.9% 7.4% 9.7% 10.1% 13.0% 12.9% 13.1% 12.0% 10.1% 3.8%
Brandon Wood 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 6.4% 6.6% 11.7% 13.2% 15.7% 18.7% 14.7%
John Olson 2.2% 2.0% 3.6% 3.5% 4.5% 6.5% 9.4% 11.8% 18.7% 37.8%
Thomas Maher 2.7% 2.5% 3.7% 4.1% 5.1% 7.0% 8.6% 13.0% 22.6% 30.7%
Zachary Hester 6.6% 10.2% 9.4% 12.4% 13.4% 10.9% 12.5% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.