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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+1.90vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.36+2.57vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.95-0.25vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.65+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10-1.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-0.87vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.46-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Vermont0.8424.8%1st Place
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4.57McGill University-0.368.6%1st Place
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2.75Boston University0.9526.4%1st Place
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5.02Bates College-0.656.4%1st Place
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3.88University of New Hampshire0.1012.6%1st Place
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5.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.696.8%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University0.4614.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 24.8% | 21.8% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 19.8% |
| Dylan Balunas | 26.4% | 24.7% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Greta Shuster | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 28.4% |
| Sam Harris | 12.6% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 8.4% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 21.0% | 32.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.