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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+7.11vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+3.56vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+6.26vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+6.46vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.18+5.85vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+3.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.93-2.62vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+0.57vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.63+0.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-0.34vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University2.54-1.30vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.38-1.42vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.41vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.68-5.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.49vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.91-3.83vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.62-7.69vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.56Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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10.85Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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4.38Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.14Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.66Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.7North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.58Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.67George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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12.17Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.31Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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15.55SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Walter Henry | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.3% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Scott Harris | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matt Logue | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 6.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Edward Cook | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.