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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.82vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+4.55vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+2.81vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+7.09vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28+5.74vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.38+4.52vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.63+2.43vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.94+0.08vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+0.64vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University2.54+0.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.91vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-3.02vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.13vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.65-4.98vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.91-2.74vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.84-7.42vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.17vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.50-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.55Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.81Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.09Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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10.52Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.08Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.64Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.04North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.26Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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15.83SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.5% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Scott Harris | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 54.1% |
| Matthew Priebe | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.