← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.65+8.50vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.91+10.55vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.23vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.84+4.38vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.94+3.11vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.82+2.68vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.38-0.60vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.63+1.28vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.93-4.47vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii2.28+1.07vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.82vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University2.38-1.19vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.57-3.54vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.59-8.47vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University2.18-3.83vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.50-5.94vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.16vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University2.54-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.5Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
-
12.55Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
8.38Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
8.11Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.68Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.4Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.28Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
-
4.53Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
11.07University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
-
11.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
10.81Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.46Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
5.53Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
11.17Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
10.06George Washington University2.500.0%1st Place
-
15.84SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.58North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 9.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.0% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Priebe | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 55.7% |
| Scott Harris | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.