← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.99+5.69vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.97+8.76vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.54+1.81vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.33+8.72vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+5.94vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.45+2.61vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.22-1.31vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.07+2.00vs Predicted
-
9Webb Institute1.69+2.57vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.43-4.79vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.23-1.41vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.45-3.04vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.08vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii2.35-5.34vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.52-2.87vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University2.16-6.21vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.01-0.63vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University2.63-10.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.69Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.76Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
-
4.81Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
12.72North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
-
10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
-
8.61Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.69Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
10.0Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
11.57Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.21Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
9.59Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.96Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
-
10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
-
12.13Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
-
9.79Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
16.37SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
-
7.6George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.6% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 9.9% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 3.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| John Glenn | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 6.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 63.5% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.