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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+3.92vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+4.68vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+7.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.46vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16+4.65vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.13vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52+5.10vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-3.03vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.45-0.50vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.33+3.10vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.22-5.16vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.97-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.35-4.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-3.25vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.23-5.60vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.63-8.13vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.69-5.36vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.1Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.97Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.1North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.71Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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9.4Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.87George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.64Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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16.19SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| John Glenn | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 10.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.