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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.74vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+3.84vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.69+8.82vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+4.44vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.23+4.37vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16+3.72vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.07+3.04vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.52+4.08vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.97+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.35-0.81vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.54-6.21vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.43-6.65vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.03vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.33-1.45vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-6.49vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-4.87vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.01-0.65vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.63-10.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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11.82Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.37Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.72Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.08Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.48Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
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4.79Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.55North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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16.35SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| John Glenn | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.0% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 8.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 64.6% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.