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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+3.88vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+3.82vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.16+6.98vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+4.43vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69+6.41vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+0.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+4.00vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.35+0.82vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+1.07vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.52+2.39vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.97-0.40vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.23-2.25vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.43-8.06vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.33-1.43vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.63-7.25vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-7.37vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.76vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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5.82Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.41Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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6.51Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.39Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.6Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.75Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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4.94Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.57North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.75George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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16.21SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| John Glenn | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 7.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.9% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.