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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+4.98vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+4.74vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+5.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+0.75vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16+4.71vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-0.93vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.07+3.19vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.23+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.35-0.02vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.33+3.16vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.97-0.28vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.74-4.18vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.45-4.51vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.17vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.52-2.74vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.69-4.25vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-6.64vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.19-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.75Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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5.07Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.19Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.46Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Hawaii2.350.0%1st Place
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13.16North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.72Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.82George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.26Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.75Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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15.91SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.5% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 13.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| John Glenn | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 7.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Michael Burns | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.