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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+2.69vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.82+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.83+1.56vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California3.16-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley2.60-0.91vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.60-0.04vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-1.26vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University2.22-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Brown University3.690.2%1st Place
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3.52California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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3.25Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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7.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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6.79Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 18.6% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sean Kelly | 20.5% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Craig Schifferns | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Jack Porter | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Mateo Vargas | 22.1% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Lue | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Cody Shevitz | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
| John Olson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 36.4% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 31.6% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.