← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.99+5.77vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.43+3.15vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.52+9.54vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.54+0.73vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.23+4.41vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.74+1.56vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.45+1.61vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.16+1.71vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.07+1.18vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.48vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii2.35-1.84vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University1.97-1.10vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University1.33-0.21vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University3.22-8.36vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute1.69-3.44vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.45-7.31vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College0.19-0.89vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.77Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.15Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
12.54Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
-
4.73Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
-
9.41Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.56George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.61Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
-
9.71Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
10.18Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
9.16University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
-
10.9Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
-
12.79North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
-
5.64Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
11.56Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.69Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
-
16.11SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
-
11.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Glenn | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 7.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.3% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Michael Burns | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 10.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 13.3% | 58.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.