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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.16+9.05vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.23+7.84vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+5.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.07+2.24vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54-0.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-0.80vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52+5.30vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.93-1.22vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.81-1.74vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.17+3.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.54vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.35-2.50vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.69-1.52vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.34vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-4.85vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.74-8.31vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.97-6.27vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.84Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.24Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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5.2Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.3Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.26Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.69North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Hawaii2.350.0%1st Place
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11.48Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.15Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.69George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.73Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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16.24SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Snyder | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.5% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Glenn | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Scott Mais | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 22.7% | 15.6% |
| Michael Burns | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Patton | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.