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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+5.58vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+5.01vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+5.92vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16+5.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+0.12vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.23+3.66vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.97+3.58vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.74-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.35+0.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+0.50vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.01+5.37vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.81-4.39vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.54-8.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.98vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.69-3.29vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.52-3.63vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.98vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.17-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.01Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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5.12Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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9.66Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.58Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Hawaii2.350.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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16.37SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.77Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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11.71Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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12.37Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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13.43North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.9% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 62.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Burns | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 5.5% |
| John Glenn | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 5.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.