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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+9.64vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+8.03vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+3.41vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+3.47vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43-0.04vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93+0.67vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.63+0.80vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.92vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69-1.49vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.33+3.12vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-2.28vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-1.51vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.69-1.51vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.01+2.20vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-3.58vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-6.12vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.52-4.61vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.35-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.47Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.67Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.08Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.12North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.49Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.49Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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16.2SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.39Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.7% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 12.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Micky Munns | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 58.9% |
| John McKenna | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 3.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| John Glenn | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 7.4% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.