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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+5.36vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+7.16vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+4.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+0.94vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.68vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16+3.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52+5.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+0.51vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.69+2.65vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.63-1.88vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.97-0.33vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.93-5.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-1.74vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-6.64vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-4.91vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.81-8.75vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.01-0.58vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.33-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Hawaii2.350.0%1st Place
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7.77Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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9.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.23Old Dominion University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.65Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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8.12George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.67Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.98Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.09Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.25Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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16.42SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.77North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.7% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| John Glenn | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 7.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Scott Mais | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 3.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 65.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.