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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+9.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+7.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.54vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.55+6.50vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+1.74vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+2.06vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.40vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.43+1.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.10vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.66-3.01vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-3.96vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.01-6.46vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.65-5.72vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.80-7.30vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.41-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.5Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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5.95Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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11.44Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.7College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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14.69University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| JC Hermus | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| David Eastwood | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.