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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.93vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+5.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.65+5.14vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.55+4.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.90vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.97vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.43+2.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-2.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.80-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.71vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.41+0.57vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.80-5.48vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.61-5.54vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-8.56vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.66-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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10.67Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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11.18Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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14.57University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| David Eastwood | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 41.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.