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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.04vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+6.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+6.28vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+3.10vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+3.19vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-0.91vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.80-1.96vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-4.83vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.55-3.63vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-8.07vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.41-1.09vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.43-5.69vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.65-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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10.04College of Charleston2.800.0%1st Place
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8.17Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.37Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.93Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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14.91University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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11.31Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| JC Hermus | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| David Eastwood | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 44.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.