← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.80+8.74vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.15+6.29vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.47+3.98vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.69+1.91vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.61+5.29vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.80+3.64vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.09+1.35vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.06vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.48vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University2.55+0.96vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University2.43+0.27vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.50vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.42-6.06vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-4.39vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin2.65-4.82vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami2.66-5.71vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.16vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan1.41-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.74University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.29Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
6.98Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
5.91Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.29Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
9.64College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.35Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.48University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
-
10.96Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
-
11.27Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
-
10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.94Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.18University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
-
10.29University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
-
9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
14.68University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| David Eastwood | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.